← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64+3.90vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.01-0.18vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-1.01-0.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-1.20-0.80vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-2.47-0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-1.38-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.9California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
-
1.82University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
-
2.88Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
-
3.2University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
-
4.8Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
3.4University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Mast | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 27.8% | 44.7% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 51.0% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 18.2% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 21.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 12.8% | 19.3% | 26.3% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 5.1% |
| Aaron Heard | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 30.0% | 40.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.5% | 17.9% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.