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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01-0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.20+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-1.98vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-2.47-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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1.82University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington-1.200.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.77Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Mast | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 25.9% | 45.6% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.0% | 27.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 15.8% | 20.8% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 12.5% | 4.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 10.9% | 18.7% | 21.0% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 6.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 16.5% | 22.7% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Aaron Heard | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 30.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.