← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.43+2.79vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-0.31+2.19vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.50vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-0.46-0.55vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.08-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
2.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
-
5.19Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
-
5.63University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.76Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.37Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 13.3% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Clay Myers | 37.2% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| Colin Olson | 16.8% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 21.2% |
| Emily Avey | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 28.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.