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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.55+2.58vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.31+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+0.46vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.62-0.32vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-2.46vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.23Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.68Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.54Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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2.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 13.4% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Colin Olson | 16.0% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 22.9% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| Emily Avey | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 20.9% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 26.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Clay Myers | 38.8% | 27.8% | 16.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.