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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.78vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.08+0.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.67vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.31-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-1.48vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.62-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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2.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.64Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 12.9% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Clay Myers | 38.0% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 17.5% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 22.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| Emily Avey | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 22.6% |
| Owen Lubben | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.