Race 10A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephanie Roble 12.8% 13.6% 15.1% 16.5% 12.9% 11.2% 10.0% 5.2% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Caroline Patten 12.7% 13.1% 12.8% 13.8% 13.2% 12.7% 10.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 28.7% 23.2% 18.1% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 3.6% 7.1% 6.1% 8.7% 16.8% 18.9% 25.1% 4.5%
Melissa Bermudez 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 4.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.9% 13.0% 20.7% 25.1% 4.5%
Marissa Lihan 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.5% 10.1% 13.2% 13.7% 13.3% 12.8% 7.6% 0.4%
Amanda Johnson 6.7% 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 10.3% 12.1% 13.5% 15.5% 10.0% 8.6% 1.0%
Megan Magill 16.0% 16.7% 15.0% 15.3% 10.5% 11.2% 7.0% 4.4% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 9.1% 10.0% 9.9% 13.2% 13.7% 11.6% 13.4% 9.6% 5.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Meredith Carroll 3.4% 3.8% 5.4% 4.5% 5.9% 8.6% 10.5% 13.7% 19.6% 21.8% 2.8%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 6.2% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.