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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.77vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.31+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46-0.56vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-2.48vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.62-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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2.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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5.23Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.63Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 12.9% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Clay Myers | 37.1% | 27.8% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 18.1% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 23.9% |
| Emily Avey | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.