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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.46vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.62+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.64vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.31-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-1.46vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.08-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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5.73Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 38.9% | 27.9% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.4% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Colin Olson | 17.1% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Owen Lubben | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 26.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 22.7% |
| Liam Brinton | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| Emily Avey | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 22.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.