← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.43+2.68vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.24vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.36vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-1.23+2.49vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.31+0.06vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.08-1.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.46-1.63vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-0.62-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.68University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
2.24California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
-
3.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
-
6.49University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.06Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.31Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.37University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.49Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 14.1% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Clay Myers | 38.6% | 28.0% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 18.6% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Max Lawall | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 44.9% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 10.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Emily Avey | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 16.6% |
| Owen Lubben | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.