← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.43+1.75vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.33vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.08+0.34vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.31+0.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-1.23+0.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.46-1.63vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-0.62-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
-
3.75University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
3.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
-
4.34Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.04Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
6.47University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.37University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.5Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 41.1% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.2% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Colin Olson | 17.6% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| Max Lawall | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 44.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| Owen Lubben | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.