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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.64+3.96vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+0.45vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.77+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.14-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48-1.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-3.71vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.63-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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2.45California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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5.25Northwestern University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.29Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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6.6Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lisle | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.6% |
| Ryan Downey | 34.1% | 26.5% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 15.8% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 20.7% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.