← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.41+1.23vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.14+0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.46vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-1.63+0.58vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.77-1.66vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.48-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.4%1st Place
-
3.23Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.18University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
-
4.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
6.58Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
-
5.34Northwestern University-0.770.1%1st Place
-
4.66University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 35.5% | 26.5% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.9% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 48.0% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.