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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.31vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.48+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.14+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.64-1.12vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.40-0.79vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.63-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.4%1st Place
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3.14Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.62University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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6.21Northwestern University-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.44Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 37.7% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 20.1% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 4.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.7% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Luke Notkin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 34.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 22.0% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.