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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.48+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.14+0.88vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.40+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.19+0.72vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.63+0.31vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-3.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.4%1st Place
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4.5University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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6.03Northwestern University-1.400.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Berkeley-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.31Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.14Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 36.2% | 28.6% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.1% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Luke Notkin | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 28.4% |
| Guillaume Collin | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 20.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 37.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 20.3% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.