← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.25vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.41+1.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-0.14+0.86vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.48+0.52vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.40+1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-1.79vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-1.19-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-1.63-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.4%1st Place
-
3.06Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
-
3.86University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
-
4.52University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.05Northwestern University-1.400.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at Berkeley-1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.31Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 38.8% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 20.4% | 23.4% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Murphy | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Luke Notkin | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 25.5% | 27.7% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.7% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Guillaume Collin | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 23.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.