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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+2.06vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.48+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.14+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.62vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.77-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.19-1.12vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.63-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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2.38California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.4%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.1Northwestern University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.47Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 22.5% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 35.4% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| Guillaume Collin | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 27.9% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.