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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+2.08vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.14+1.03vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.77+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.19+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48-1.37vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.63-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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2.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.17Northwestern University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.54Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 21.9% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Downey | 34.7% | 27.4% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
| Guillaume Collin | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 26.6% | 23.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 46.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.9% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.