Race 1A

saisa-women-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grace Squires 15.8% 15.8% 15.6% 17.0% 16.0% 10.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Allen 15.9% 15.9% 16.2% 14.3% 13.4% 11.9% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 18.6% 18.4% 16.8% 15.8% 11.9% 10.4% 5.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 16.6% 14.3% 16.9% 15.0% 14.1% 11.9% 6.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 17.0% 16.4% 13.6% 14.3% 13.9% 11.7% 8.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 7.4% 9.2% 10.0% 10.5% 12.5% 16.9% 15.5% 10.9% 5.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Sandra Heilshorn 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 5.2% 9.1% 14.5% 21.9% 19.8% 13.2% 4.1%
Sarah Weese 1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 6.2% 11.6% 18.4% 28.1% 28.4%
Kathleen Perry 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 6.8% 14.7% 21.6% 47.5%
Lauren Mellinger 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 6.9% 13.6% 23.1% 26.4% 18.5%
Carly Orhan 2.9% 4.1% 5.4% 5.7% 7.6% 10.4% 18.5% 21.2% 14.8% 8.1% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.