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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+2.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+1.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91-0.52vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.31+0.42vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07-1.19vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.44-0.73vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.67Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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3.99Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.48University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
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5.17Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.87North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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7.42University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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8.92Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.67Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 15.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 18.4% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 19.7% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 3.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 22.5% |
| Sarah Weese | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.