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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.97+4.23vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+1.69vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.07+3.96vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86-1.48vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75-2.36vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65-3.29vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.31-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.44+0.30vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-1.15vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.69Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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6.96Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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3.95North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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3.64College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.64Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Nelson | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.9% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 17.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Weese | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 19.2% | 24.8% | 33.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 23.1% | 26.9% | 18.9% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 15.3% | 24.8% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.