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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+2.76vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+0.57vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75-0.22vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65-1.18vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.31+0.40vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.44+0.31vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.32vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.15-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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3.82Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.57University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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3.78College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.82North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.21Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.83Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.68Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.82Georgia Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 15.8% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.2% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 17.7% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Weese | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 29.7% | 30.5% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 44.4% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 25.3% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.