Race 7A

saisa-women-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kay Brunsvold 18.2% 17.8% 16.9% 15.2% 15.8% 8.5% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 17.3% 17.2% 16.3% 16.1% 12.7% 10.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 14.1% 12.7% 18.9% 13.5% 14.0% 14.3% 7.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 10.8% 13.3% 17.9% 15.8% 12.0% 5.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Grace Squires 18.0% 18.6% 14.5% 15.1% 11.3% 11.2% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Allen 16.1% 16.2% 15.8% 15.2% 14.1% 9.2% 8.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 4.3% 4.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.5% 10.6% 18.7% 20.2% 16.9% 6.7% 1.3%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 6.2% 8.6% 15.0% 21.3% 19.3% 13.9% 4.3%
Sarah Weese 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 9.8% 17.7% 28.5% 31.2%
Kathleen Perry 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 4.3% 8.0% 13.9% 23.5% 44.3%
Lauren Mellinger 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 4.4% 7.0% 14.3% 22.4% 26.0% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.