Race 12A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 29.1% 23.3% 17.7% 14.4% 7.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 12.8% 13.0% 13.8% 12.7% 13.8% 12.2% 9.4% 6.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Stephanie Roble 13.2% 13.3% 15.5% 13.7% 13.6% 12.8% 7.4% 7.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Megan Magill 13.6% 16.0% 12.4% 15.3% 14.7% 11.0% 8.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 5.7% 5.7% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 12.6% 12.6% 14.1% 13.6% 9.9% 0.8%
Marissa Lihan 5.7% 5.4% 8.7% 9.6% 10.6% 11.5% 14.1% 12.6% 12.2% 8.9% 0.7%
Melissa Bermudez 3.4% 4.0% 2.7% 3.7% 6.8% 7.9% 12.0% 13.1% 17.9% 24.6% 3.9%
Lauren Turner 9.7% 11.4% 12.3% 13.1% 12.6% 10.7% 11.3% 9.7% 6.4% 2.7% 0.1%
Meredith Carroll 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 8.6% 10.5% 14.7% 19.1% 21.2% 4.8%
Ryann Hall 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 12.1% 14.5% 17.7% 23.4% 3.4%
Jessie Shifalo 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.9% 86.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.