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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.34vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.66vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+2.31vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.79-0.65vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.21-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.61-0.21vs Predicted
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80.01-2.32vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-3.40+0.34vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-2.87-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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3.16North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.66University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.5Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.680.010.1%1st Place
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7.99Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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9.89Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 35.1% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.3% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| KA Hamner | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 35.8% | 15.6% | 4.0% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 26.7% | 61.4% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 46.4% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.