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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.35vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+4.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24-0.38vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.93vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79-1.62vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.21-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.61-1.08vs Predicted
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90.01-3.08vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.87-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.40-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.28North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.93Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.38Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.27Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.920.010.0%1st Place
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9.89Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 35.4% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.7% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.0% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 35.5% | 15.7% | 2.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Ketner | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| KA Hamner | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 43.2% | 36.0% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 28.6% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.