Race 3B

saisa-women-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emma Tallman 34.5% 26.6% 16.1% 13.0% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 15.6% 18.0% 19.0% 15.9% 14.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Agija Elerte 12.3% 13.6% 16.6% 16.8% 15.3% 13.6% 7.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella du Plessis 18.2% 19.6% 18.3% 17.9% 13.5% 7.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
KA Hamner 4.8% 5.5% 7.7% 9.3% 11.9% 14.7% 18.7% 15.4% 10.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 3.4% 4.1% 7.0% 7.1% 9.6% 16.4% 19.1% 18.1% 11.5% 3.3% 0.4%
Niah Ford 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.7% 15.9% 16.2% 16.2% 11.5% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Danielle Ketner 2.8% 2.4% 4.1% 5.7% 8.9% 11.8% 16.3% 21.3% 20.0% 6.0% 0.7%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 5.8% 9.5% 17.3% 35.4% 15.2% 4.1%
Abigail Austin 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.9% 3.6% 6.1% 26.3% 61.3%
Emerson Bergan 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 2.2% 5.2% 9.5% 46.3% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.