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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.41vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.73vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.25+1.42vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.05vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.21-1.60vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.87+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-3.40+1.36vs Predicted
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100.01-4.16vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.73University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.55Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.4Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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9.88Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
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5.840.010.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.9% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.8% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Johnston | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 38.7% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Niah Ford | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 48.8% | 33.3% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 26.5% | 62.5% |
| KA Hamner | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.