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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+1.58vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.25+1.39vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.05vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-0.89vs Predicted
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80.01-2.21vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.21-3.42vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.87-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.40-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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3.58University of South Florida1.240.2%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Miami-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.11Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.790.010.1%1st Place
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5.58Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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9.92Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 35.9% | 25.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.2% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Johnston | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 34.4% | 17.8% | 3.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| KA Hamner | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Niah Ford | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 44.6% | 35.6% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 28.0% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.