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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+2.65vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+0.33vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.33vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.21+1.68vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.79-0.60vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.25-0.75vs Predicted
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80.01-2.23vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-0.91vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.87-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.40-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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2.33College of Charleston2.040.4%1st Place
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3.33North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.68Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.4Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Miami-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.770.010.1%1st Place
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8.09Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.92Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.5% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 37.4% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.2% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Johnston | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 35.3% | 17.4% | 4.5% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 44.5% | 35.3% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 28.7% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.