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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-3.20+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-3.46+2.68vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.82-0.39vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20-2.08vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.42-1.50vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.70-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Indiana University-3.200.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Notre Dame-3.460.0%1st Place
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2.61Washington University-1.820.2%1st Place
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1.92Michigan State University-1.200.5%1st Place
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3.5Miami University-2.420.1%1st Place
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3.82Purdue University-2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kem | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| Emma Herring | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 22.9% | 41.7% |
| Sarah Biedron | 24.2% | 27.2% | 23.0% | 16.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 45.4% | 29.5% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Boothby | 12.3% | 15.5% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 11.8% |
| Nalin Sinha | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.