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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+2.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.46vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.43vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43-1.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.47vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.74-1.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.60-2.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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3.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.43Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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5.72Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.53Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 16.5% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.9% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Christina Johns | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 20.1% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 4.2% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 11.9% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 12.6% |
| Maggy Ashton | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.