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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.64vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.58vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+0.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11+2.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+0.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.17vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.60-0.34vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.74-1.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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3.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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3.87Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.97Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.8% | 19.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 16.9% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Christina Johns | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 13.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Maggy Ashton | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.