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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.81+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.15+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.69vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.84+4.13vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.82+3.53vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-1.96vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.41-0.18vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.68+1.36vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.08-4.32vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.36-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.58-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.39-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Washington1.0716.8%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington-2.5512.6%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington0.8112.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Washington1.1517.4%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington0.5110.6%1st Place
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10.13Western Washington University-0.842.9%1st Place
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10.53University of Oregon-0.821.6%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University0.548.3%1st Place
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8.82Western Washington University-0.413.1%1st Place
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8.84Western Washington University-0.513.3%1st Place
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12.36University of California at San Diego-1.680.7%1st Place
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7.68University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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8.54University of Washington-0.363.2%1st Place
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11.72University of California at San Diego-1.581.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Oregon-1.391.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 33.5% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Bella Valente | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.