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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.06+5.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+2.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+4.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+0.85vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University1.06+2.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.64-1.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.10-3.36vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.43+1.12vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.22+4.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.88-4.40vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.60-4.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.07-3.51vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-2.33vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.03Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.64Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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10.12Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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14.46Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.67Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 21.7% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 27.0% | 22.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Cabell | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 13.3% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 19.8% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.