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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.64+4.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+2.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+0.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+2.03vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06+2.76vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00+2.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+1.11vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.22+6.22vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.43+1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.60-0.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.10-6.24vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.25vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81+0.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.06-5.99vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-6.48vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.07-4.33vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.77Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.76Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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14.22Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.19Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.76Boston College2.100.2%1st Place
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12.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 23.7% |
| Walter Chiles | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| John Cabell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Budington | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 23.3% | 13.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 19.0% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.