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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+4.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.00+6.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.06+4.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.64+0.88vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University1.06+2.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.88+1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-3.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-5.08vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.07+1.55vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.43-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+2.51vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.60-4.43vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-1.48vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.10-11.30vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.22-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.05Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.92Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.08Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.52Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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14.52Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 19.2% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kate Myler | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 54.3% |
| John Cabell | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 22.7% | 12.6% |
| Nick Budington | 12.1% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 27.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.