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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+3.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.64+3.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+5.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45-0.16vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06+2.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.88+2.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06-0.22vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.43+1.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-1.98vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.60-1.52vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.22+2.50vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.10-8.23vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.07-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.79vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.81-2.41vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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3.84Dartmouth College2.450.2%1st Place
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7.84Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island1.060.1%1st Place
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10.13Middlebury College0.430.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University0.600.0%1st Place
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14.5Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.77Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 20.2% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Cabell | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 28.9% | 25.8% |
| Nick Budington | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Kate Myler | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 4.4% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 12.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.