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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+2.84vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.25+3.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.59+3.43vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+1.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.53+0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-4.82vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.18+3.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.72+1.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.39-2.90vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+0.92vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.65-5.73vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.68-0.43vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.90-3.35vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79-2.21vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.46Dartmouth College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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6.92Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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3.18Boston College2.260.3%1st Place
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12.51Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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11.21Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.1Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.92Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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13.57Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.790.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 19.3% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 25.3% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 3.5% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 25.6% | 4.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 21.7% | 24.6% | 7.0% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 81.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.