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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+4.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+1.12vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+4.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.90-0.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+0.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.39+2.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.25-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.59-0.65vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.18+3.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.65-2.83vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.53-3.34vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.90-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79+0.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.72-2.73vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-2.15vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.68-2.44vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.12Boston College2.260.3%1st Place
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7.15Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College1.250.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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12.48Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.27Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.85Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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13.56Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 25.7% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 1.9% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 26.7% | 6.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 2.5% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 5.2% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.