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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+6.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+3.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.25+2.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90-1.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.26-2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.59+0.55vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.39-0.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.65-1.55vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.53-2.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.72+0.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.90-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79+0.92vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.18-1.39vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.68-1.34vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-2.88vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
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3.23Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.61Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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13.66Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 19.2% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 24.1% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 5.8% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 15.3% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.