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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.59+5.38vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+4.13vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.53+3.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+0.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.25-1.37vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.39-0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.26-5.71vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.65-2.76vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.68+2.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.72-0.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.90-1.17vs Predicted
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14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41-0.79vs Predicted
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15Williams College-1.18-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79-1.98vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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7.13Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College1.250.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
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3.29Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.76Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.26Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.21Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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12.48Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 18.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 22.7% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 15.4% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.