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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+8.29vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+8.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+5.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+3.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+5.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03+0.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36+2.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.08+1.43vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.51+2.91vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-2.05vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.11-1.93vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.00-2.07vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.39-5.04vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.23-9.69vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.67-8.21vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.23-7.30vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.63-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.39Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.1Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.5Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.91University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.07Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.96Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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10.7Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.05Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 21.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Brian Fox | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.