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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.15+1.14vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.41+4.84vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.36+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.08-0.43vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.58+1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.81-6.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.31vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.82-3.30vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.84-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of Washington-2.5513.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington1.0716.7%1st Place
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4.14University of Washington1.1516.7%1st Place
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8.84Western Washington University-0.412.4%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University0.549.8%1st Place
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5.58University of Washington0.519.6%1st Place
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8.66University of Washington-0.364.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Oregon-0.085.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-0.513.5%1st Place
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11.91University of California at San Diego-1.581.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington0.8112.3%1st Place
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12.31University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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11.42University of Oregon-1.391.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Oregon-0.821.9%1st Place
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10.14Western Washington University-0.841.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Bella Valente | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 24.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 33.2% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.