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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+8.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.80vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35+5.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36+2.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.90vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.67-1.26vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-1.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00+0.30vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.39-3.18vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.23-3.02vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.51-1.32vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.11-4.75vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.08-5.55vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.81-9.94vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.63-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.58Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.55Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.82Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.98Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.68University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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11.25Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.96Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 24.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brian Fox | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.