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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+9.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+7.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+3.27vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+4.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67+1.90vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-0.36vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35+1.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.86vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.36-1.36vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-5.02vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.11-2.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.99vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.23-5.34vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.63-3.65vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.51-4.14vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.00-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.22Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.11Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.64Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.47Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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10.66Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.35Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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13.86University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 22.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.