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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+9.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+7.24vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.23+6.86vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51+7.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+1.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+2.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-0.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.08-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.76vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.63-0.46vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.11-3.76vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-6.57vs Predicted
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17Princeton University2.35-6.67vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.00-6.26vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University3.00-12.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.24Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.86Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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13.64University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.1Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.54Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.24Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.33Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 22.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Brian Fox | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 19.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.