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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+6.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.36+8.26vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.59vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+4.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.66vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.76vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+2.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39+0.88vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.63+3.34vs Predicted
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11Princeton University2.35-0.77vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.08-0.07vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.11-1.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.57-4.63vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.24vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.23-5.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.51-3.16vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.00-6.32vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.67-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.26Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.88Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.34Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.23Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.17Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.66Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.84University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Brian Fox | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 16.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 24.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.