← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.48vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.81+6.23vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.08+8.60vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.00+3.40vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.03vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.45+3.78vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University2.35+3.33vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.50+1.81vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.03-1.88vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.67-1.26vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.39-0.97vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.53vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.36-3.01vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.11-2.50vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.57-5.83vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.63-2.66vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.23-6.20vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.51-4.18vs Predicted
-
19Northeastern University2.00-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.48University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.23Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
11.6Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.4Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
9.78Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.33Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.81Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.12Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.74Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.03Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
-
11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
-
9.99Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.5Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.17Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
13.34Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.8Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
-
13.82University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
-
11.37Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Brian Fox | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 17.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 22.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.