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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+4.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+2.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.08+4.52vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35+2.51vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+2.09vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-0.58vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.67-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.51+2.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.57vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.63-0.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-3.37vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.36-5.94vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.39-6.99vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.08-6.65vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College2.45-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.51Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.09Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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14.28University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.55Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.06Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.01Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.35Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 24.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brian Fox | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 17.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.