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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+4.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.34vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+2.74vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+2.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-0.40vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50+0.35vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.63+3.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.36-0.79vs Predicted
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12Princeton University2.35-1.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-6.04vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.08-2.41vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.11-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.51-2.17vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-5.26vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.08-6.69vs Predicted
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19Yale University2.39-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.33Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.21Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.64Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.59Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.16Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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13.83University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.55Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Brian Fox | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 17.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.