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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+5.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.20vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+2.84vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.08+3.76vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.51+3.81vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.39-0.96vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-2.10vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-5.06vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.36-3.72vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.11-3.87vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.08-4.66vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.03-9.77vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.00-6.34vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.63-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.2Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.76Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.07Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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13.81University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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10.04Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.28Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.13Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.34Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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13.02Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 23.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Brian Fox | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.